The most efficient players in Allsvenskan

So, I thought I’d answer two questions in this blog post.

The first was a question from an article in Östersundsposten this week, asking who you think is the best player ever to have played in ÖFK.

The second was a question I got when I wrote about Lasse Vibe and his efficiency in terms of his ratio between expected goals and actual goals.

Now, the answer to the two questions turned out to be related and make one blog post.

Continue reading The most efficient players in Allsvenskan

Impact of Game State to my Expected Goals/ExpG model

So, I forgot one thing when I made my ExpG model and posted the results here. I guess this is what is so great about trying to contribute to a community and be open about what one is doing.  11tegen11 gave me some feedback and I got curious too. Game State, the current state of the game regarding score should make an impact, I mean who hasn’t seen a player missing out on some clear opportunities when the game already is decided? Tonight I added game state and this is what happened… Continue reading Impact of Game State to my Expected Goals/ExpG model

Lasse Vibe

I read this tweet, basically saying that Brentford are known for using statistical models when buying players. Updated: I now also read Tom Worvilles excellent series on Brentford here.
Brentford bought Lasse Vibe from IFK Göteborg today. So it made me curious, I just had to check Lasse Vibes ExpG/G for the two last seasons to see if this is a signing influenced or based on statistical models. Continue reading Lasse Vibe